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subject 참여정부 들어 9번째 내놓은 부동산 대책

새해 들어 발표된 1.11 대책은 참여정부 들어 제시된 어떤 부동산 대책보다 강수를 두고 있고 그만큼 시장원칙에 어긋나고 시행될 때 일어날 문제점들을 가지고 있다. 그러나 이대로 놔두면 반드시 터질 부동산 거품을 잡기 위해선 대안이 없는 것도 사실이다.

지난해 11.15 대책에 이어 정부와 열린우리당은 1.11 대책을 내놓았다. 공공아파트에만 실시되고 있는 분양원가 공개를 오는 9월부터 수도권과 지방의 투기과열지구 민간아파트에도 병행 실시하는 등 '초강도 분양가 규제 방안'을 도입하기로 했다. 이번 대책에서는 신규분양 아파트의 높은 분양가가 주변 집 값을 끌어올리는 악순환을 끊겠다는 취지로 발표된 이번 대책은 참여정부 들어와 내놓은 어떤 부동산관련 대책보다도 매우 긍정적이라 평가 할 수 있다.

그러나 "민간 분양원가 공개는 안 된다"던 정부 입장과 "민간 분양원가 전면 공개" 입장을 고수하던 열린우리당의 '당초 입장에서 후회 했다'는 점에서는 왠지 씁쓸하다.

"이정도 수준의 분양원가 공개는 분양가 상한제와 다를 바 없다."는 정부여당 내부의 반발 또한 만만치 않다고 한다.

찬성과 반대의 갈등 속에서 내놓은 정부와 여당 고위당정협의회 부동산시장 안정 개편안 주요골자를 살펴보면 오는 9월부터는


1. 수도권 및 지방투기과열지구 민간택지 원가공개 서울, 인천, 경기도와 부산, 대구, 광주, 대전, 울산 등 5대 광역시, 충남 천안 등 9개 시•군 민간아파트의 분양원가는 오는 9월부터 사업계획 승인부터 공개되어야 한다. 공개되는 항목으로는 택지비, 직접공사비, 간접공사비, 설계비, 감리비, 부대비, 가산비 등이다. 지방자치단체장은 분양원가심사위원회를 설치해 건설업체가 공개한 분양원가를 검증한 뒤 이를 분양 승인 시 공개해야 한다.

2. 모든 민간택지 분양가 상한제 및 채권 입찰제 실시 채권 입찰제의 채권상한액을 현행 주변시세의 90%에서 80%로 하향조정한다.

3. 청약가점제 9월 조기시행 현재 투기과열지구로 지정된 지역에선 2 주택 이상 보유자는 1순위 청약자격을 가질 수 없다. 투기과열지구 이외의 지역으로 확대시행하는 것은 원래2008년 하반기에 시행될 예정이었으나 이번에 2주택 이상 보유자에 대한 감점제 도입 및 민간 아파트도 확대시행한다.

4. 채권상한액 주변시세 80% 현재 공공택지 25.7평 초과 아파트에만 실시하는 채권입찰제를 재개발, 재건축, 주상복합 등 민간 택지 전반으로 확대시행하며 택지비를 시행업체가 사들인 가격이 아니라 땅값 부풀리기를 막기 위해 평가기관이 산정한 감정평가 금액을 기준으로 한다.  감정가(주변시세의 60~70%)를 적용하면 택지비는 평균 20%정도 낮아진다.

5. 수도권 민간택지 전매제한 강화 수도권공공택지의 경우 중소형 10년, 중대형 5년이지만 중대형에 한해 7년으로 전매제한을 강화 했다.


이번 대책은 사실상 아파트 건설이 가능한 전국 대부분 지역에 대해 분양가 상한제와 원가공개를 병행 실시하여 20% 안밖의 분양가 인하를 기대하고 있다. 그러나 경실련은 "7개 항목에 분양 원가만 공개한다는 것은 분양가에 포함돼 있는 건설사의 폭리가 들어가 있지 않기 때문으로 분양가격이 낮아질 수가 없다" 따라서 생색내기 원가공개라는 부정적인 시각과 시민단체들 또한 조성원가 공개를 주장, 택지비를 감정평가 금액으로 적용하는 것은 문제가 많다고 주장한다. 그러나 민간 건설사들은 분양원가 공개가 기업활동 위축과 이에 따른 공급축소, 그리고 그로 인한 부작용으로 부동산 가격 상승으로 이어져 국민에게 실질적인 피해가 돌아 갈 수 있으며 기업의 지율적인 경영권을 침해하여 시장 경제원리를 훼손하기 때문에 다른 산업과의 형평에도 맞지 않으며 위헌 소지가 크다며 반발하고 있다.

현실을 근거로 제기되는 반론을 보면 정부 정책의 구체적인 시행과정에서 이런 우려를 얼마나 없앨 수 있는 지와 주택법개정과 관련법률 개정에 야당의 동의를 어떻게 끌어내는가가 향후 정책을 성공적으로 추진할 수 있는가의 관건이라 할 수 있겠다. 다소 시장원리에 부합하지 않는 면은 없지 않지만 지금 이 시점에서 경착륙이 아닌 연착륙이 되기 위해서는 약간의 무리수가 생기더라도 국민모두 서로 이해관계를 떠나 양보하고 슬기롭게 극복("모험하지 않고는 미래반전을 기대할 수 없다") 하는 국민의식 전환의 계기로 받아들여야 할 때이다.



임형근
부동산 칼럼니스트

32호
2007.1.29

wty123 16-11-30 
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